Consumer Research

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    John acquired the degree Master in Economics at the University of Stellenbosch before starting his career as an economist in the National Treasury. He was part of the team that implemented the country’s first Medium Term Expenditure Framework in the early days of Minister Trevor Manuel’s tenure as Finance Minister. Thereafter, he became the Southern African Macroeconomist for Globalinsight, a major United States based economic consultancy with a global presence. He entered banking with BOE Group, shortly before moving to Absa Group in 2000 where he was the senior macroeconomist co-ordinating the Group’s macroeconomic forecasting process. In 2004, he was named Reuters Economist of the Year. In 2006, he joined First national Bank to pursue a slightly different focus as the bank’s Property Economist. He’s a social endurance sport junkie, having brought up the rear of the field in events such as the Comrades Ultra-Marathon, the Ironman Ultra-Triathlon, and more recently the 2,330 km Freedom Challenge Mountain Bike Race Across South Africa. His sporting allegiances lie with the Blue Bulls.

    The Sectional Title Housing Market Segment still mildly outperforms the Full Title Segment, but both segments have slowed through 2016 to early-2017 Ongoing above-inflation municipal rates and tariff increases, tough economic and financial times, and rising personal tax rates, pose financial challenges to the Household Sector. This environment plays into the hands, relatively speaking, of […]

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    John acquired the degree Master in Economics at the University of Stellenbosch before starting his career as an economist in the National Treasury. He was part of the team that implemented the country’s first Medium Term Expenditure Framework in the early days of Minister Trevor Manuel’s tenure as Finance Minister. Thereafter, he became the Southern African Macroeconomist for Globalinsight, a major United States based economic consultancy with a global presence. He entered banking with BOE Group, shortly before moving to Absa Group in 2000 where he was the senior macroeconomist co-ordinating the Group’s macroeconomic forecasting process. In 2004, he was named Reuters Economist of the Year. In 2006, he joined First national Bank to pursue a slightly different focus as the bank’s Property Economist. He’s a social endurance sport junkie, having brought up the rear of the field in events such as the Comrades Ultra-Marathon, the Ironman Ultra-Triathlon, and more recently the 2,330 km Freedom Challenge Mountain Bike Race Across South Africa. His sporting allegiances lie with the Blue Bulls.

    Small-sized home price inflation still outperforms, but there is no longer a clear outperformer between the Medium and Large-sized segments Early-2017 saw what we believe to be a long term trend continuing in terms of smaller sized home price inflation out-pacing that of medium and larger sized homes, something it has consistently done since 2010. […]

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    Jason is the senior industry analyst at FNB. Prior to joining FNB, Jason worked in the Global Markets Research team at Rand Merchant Bank. In his six years with the FirstRand group, he has advised both internal and external clients on how macroeconomic factors will impact developments within the various sectors of the economy. Before joining Rand Merchant Bank, Jason was the Head of Natural Resources research at Accenture, a global management consultancy. He holds a PhD in Anthropology from the University of the Witwatersrand.

    February’s retail trade sales, which contracted by -1.7% y/y from -2.3% in January, provided further support to our view that the economy has entered a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of contraction). While the m/m number was up 0.8% on a seasonally adjusted basis, the three month quarterly change reflects a -1.3% contraction, and the […]

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    John acquired the degree Master in Economics at the University of Stellenbosch before starting his career as an economist in the National Treasury. He was part of the team that implemented the country’s first Medium Term Expenditure Framework in the early days of Minister Trevor Manuel’s tenure as Finance Minister. Thereafter, he became the Southern African Macroeconomist for Globalinsight, a major United States based economic consultancy with a global presence. He entered banking with BOE Group, shortly before moving to Absa Group in 2000 where he was the senior macroeconomist co-ordinating the Group’s macroeconomic forecasting process. In 2004, he was named Reuters Economist of the Year. In 2006, he joined First national Bank to pursue a slightly different focus as the bank’s Property Economist. He’s a social endurance sport junkie, having brought up the rear of the field in events such as the Comrades Ultra-Marathon, the Ironman Ultra-Triathlon, and more recently the 2,330 km Freedom Challenge Mountain Bike Race Across South Africa. His sporting allegiances lie with the Blue Bulls.

    Key features of home selling include gradually rising emigration estimates, high rates of downscaling by “oldies”, and thankfully little sign of rising financial stress yet. The broad picture emanating from the FNB Home Selling Estate Agent Survey remains one of financial constraints and caution, in an environment of economic weakness and uncertainty. We believe that […]

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    • Lives in:
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    John acquired the degree Master in Economics at the University of Stellenbosch before starting his career as an economist in the National Treasury. He was part of the team that implemented the country’s first Medium Term Expenditure Framework in the early days of Minister Trevor Manuel’s tenure as Finance Minister. Thereafter, he became the Southern African Macroeconomist for Globalinsight, a major United States based economic consultancy with a global presence. He entered banking with BOE Group, shortly before moving to Absa Group in 2000 where he was the senior macroeconomist co-ordinating the Group’s macroeconomic forecasting process. In 2004, he was named Reuters Economist of the Year. In 2006, he joined First national Bank to pursue a slightly different focus as the bank’s Property Economist. He’s a social endurance sport junkie, having brought up the rear of the field in events such as the Comrades Ultra-Marathon, the Ironman Ultra-Triathlon, and more recently the 2,330 km Freedom Challenge Mountain Bike Race Across South Africa. His sporting allegiances lie with the Blue Bulls.

    According to SARB 4th quarter 2016 data, new mortgage lending remained in a state of year-on-year decline, driven by declines in both Residential as well as Commercial Mortgages. But it may return to positive growth later in 2017, if the SARB and our own Leading Indicators are anything to go by. For the full article, […]

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